Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.007720 0.008675 0.009719 0.010945 0.012350 0.013914 0.015791
2025-01-26 0.006166 0.007456 0.008986 0.010946 0.013408 0.016416 0.020403
2025-02-02 0.005525 0.007016 0.008888 0.011432 0.014838 0.019289 0.025630
2025-02-09 0.004867 0.006420 0.008457 0.011359 0.015448 0.021090 0.029622
2025-02-16 0.004425 0.006031 0.008218 0.011466 0.016252 0.023187 0.034255
2025-02-23 0.003987 0.005587 0.007838 0.011299 0.016605 0.024628 0.038063
2025-03-02 0.003716 0.005344 0.007704 0.011458 0.017432 0.026845 0.043363
2025-03-09 0.003424 0.005038 0.007441 0.011377 0.017857 0.028452 0.047857
2025-03-16 0.003079 0.004618 0.006962 0.010899 0.017570 0.028834 0.050249
2025-03-23 0.002872 0.004391 0.006760 0.010842 0.017965 0.030400 0.054980
2025-03-30 0.002803 0.004376 0.006889 0.011341 0.019364 0.033887 0.063855
2025-04-06 0.002570 0.004075 0.006524 0.010955 0.019137 0.034367 0.066858
2025-04-13 0.002369 0.003819 0.006223 0.010674 0.019109 0.035291 0.071085
2025-04-20 0.002235 0.003664 0.006086 0.010678 0.019627 0.037362 0.078168
2025-04-27 0.002188 0.003656 0.006200 0.011150 0.021104 0.041555 0.090750
2025-05-04 0.002063 0.003500 0.006036 0.011079 0.021480 0.043498 0.098461
2025-05-11 0.001974 0.003401 0.005968 0.011182 0.022223 0.046330 0.108878
2025-05-18 0.001858 0.003244 0.005776 0.011021 0.022380 0.047865 0.116286
2025-05-25 0.001791 0.003173 0.005743 0.011175 0.023241 0.051138 0.128957
2025-06-01 0.001701 0.003053 0.005604 0.011096 0.023571 0.053192 0.138707
2025-06-08 0.001575 0.002854 0.005297 0.010632 0.022961 0.052862 0.141566
2025-06-15 0.001503 0.002756 0.005183 0.010576 0.023305 0.054978 0.152132
2025-06-22 0.001492 0.002776 0.005310 0.011061 0.025004 0.060849 0.175632